Bitcoin Price Still Uncertain, Risk of Drop Remains
The question of whether Bitcoin has reached its lowest point is still unclear. Many analysts are not convinced that the price has truly bottomed yet.
One market analyst, Maxi Trades, believes Bitcoin could still fall further. He predicts a possible 30% drop, which could push the price down to around $50,000. This outlook adds to the uncertainty in the market, especially after Bitcoin recently climbed back above $78,000.
Past Patterns Suggest Another Big Move
Maxi Trades based his analysis on past price patterns. He pointed out that Bitcoin has been moving within a tight price range for over two and a half months.
In the past, when Bitcoin stayed in a similar range for a long time, it was usually followed by a strong price move—either up or down.
Here’s what happened before:
- First case: Bitcoin moved sideways for 64 days, then rose 14%
- Second case: 114 days of sideways movement, then dropped 27%
- Third case: 77 days of consolidation, then crashed 33%
Based on these patterns, Maxi Trades believes Bitcoin could soon make another big move—and there’s still a risk it could go down.
Possible Bottom Around $50,000
Maxi Trades also said that even though Bitcoin has been in a bearish phase for over six months since its peak above $126,000 in October 2025, there are still no clear signs that the market has hit its lowest point.
Because of that, he thinks the market has not yet gone through a full “capitulation” (a final big sell-off before recovery).
He expects the next major move could be downward. If that happens and Bitcoin breaks below its recent lows, the price could fall quickly to around $50,000. That would mean a drop of more than 36% from its current level above $78,000.
Bottom Line
Bitcoin is still in an uncertain phase. While it has shown some recovery, analysts warn that another sharp decline could happen before the market finds a true bottom.
