Traders Confident Bitcoin Will Pass $120K by End of 2025
Traders on major prediction platforms are increasingly confident that Bitcoin (BTC) will hit new record highs by the end of 2025 — with many betting it will go over $120,000.
What Are Prediction Markets?
Prediction markets are websites where people can bet on the outcome of real-world events. Prices of these bets show how likely people think an event is to happen. Two popular platforms for this are Polymarket and Kalshi. They show what the public thinks will happen with things like politics and crypto prices.
Kalshi Data
On Kalshi, 67% of traders now believe Bitcoin will reach at least $125,000 by December 31, 2025. This is up by 10% compared to earlier predictions.
Here are the odds for higher targets:
- $150,000: 31%
- $160,000: 23%
- $180,000: 12%
- $200,000: 8%
- $250,000: 4%
- $300,000: 3%
- $500,000: 2%
Polymarket Data
On Polymarket, traders are even more positive in the short term. They believe there’s a:
- 75% chance Bitcoin hits $120,000 or more by the end of this year
- 55% chance it hits $130,000
- 34% chance it reaches $150,000
Higher targets get less support:
- $200,000: 13%
- $250,000: 7%
- $1 million: 3%
Only 5% think Bitcoin will crash down to $20,000 or lower
What This Means
Most traders expect Bitcoin’s price to stay between $120,000 and $150,000, showing growing optimism but still with some caution. Compared to past data, there’s a clear shift toward believing in big gains.
With few people betting on a crash, the market seems strongly positive about Bitcoin’s future in 2025. These prediction platforms offer a good look at what informed traders are thinking — and many believe Bitcoin could have a huge year ahead.
